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Is the United States Entering a Prolonged Period of Low Unemployment and Rising Wage Inflation?
From 1946 to 1964, a new generation emerged: the Baby Boomers. As soldiers returned home from World War II, a sense of stability and optimism…
Read More The Fed Finally Cut Rates – Now What?
After the most aggressive tightening cycle in forty years and the second longest period ever with rates at the peak of the cycle, the Federal…
Read More Back Testing – What’s the Big Deal?
Beneath the wonderful world of interest rate risk (IRR) and asset liability management (ALM) lies a foundation that must be built to ensure an effective…
Read More Words of Wisdom – Investing for the Next Rate Cycle
The last several years have been nothing but an ever-changing, dynamic environment for financial institutions to operate in. First, the pandemic induced the recession of…
Read More A New Era for the Mortgage Market?
The mortgage-backed securities (MBS) market has long been supported by a “buyer of last resort,” propping up demand without being motivated by purely economic concerns.…
Read More Balance Sheet Strategies for a Better 2024
The rapidly changing environment of the last two years has left many financial institutions in a state of increased uncertainty. Rising cost of funds, declining…
Read More Rising BAB Redemptions
Build America Bonds (BABs) were created as part of the 2009 American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (ARRA). BABs are federally taxable municipal bonds issued during…
Read More Interest Rate Risk in 2024: Model Assumptions in a Falling Rate Environment
After a little more than two years and 525bp worth of rate hikes, the Federal Reserve has started to signal that rate cuts are on…
Read More It’s Time to Enhance Your Contingency Funding Plan
The great financial crisis of 2008 brought a slew of new banking regulations and guidance. More specifically, guidance related to best practices for liquidity risk…
Read More Deposit Betas Remain a Challenge in 2024
We do not have to go back very far to remember a time when deposit betas were not even an agenda item in many Asset…
Read More Understanding the Tax Treatment of Discount Municipal Bonds
In a rising rate environment, bonds priced at a discount become more prevalent. Therefore, it is imperative that municipal bond investors consider the tax implications…
Read More Preparing for 2024 for Banks
It’s that time of year when families start getting excited about the holidays and management teams at depository institutions start to worry about budget forecasts.…
Read More Preparing for 2024 for Credit Unions
It’s that time of year when families start getting excited about the holidays and management teams at depository institutions start to worry about budget forecasts.…
Read More The Rise of Municipal Tender Offers
Bond refinancings or “refundings” are used by municipalities to save debt service costs on outstanding bonds or to modify certain bond covenants or financing terms.…
Read More Is Your Balance Sheet Recession Ready?
I recently joked that I have read an article every week for the past year that says a recession is starting the next month. But…
Read More Why Mortgage Rates Remain Stubbornly High Despite Falling Inflation
As most investors know, primary mortgage rates are priced off mortgage-backed securities (MBS). The value of MBS, like all long-term fixed-rate bonds, is influenced by…
Read More Reflections on a Career in Financial Markets
Longtime financial strategist Jeff Caughron is retiring this year from The Baker Group after decades of service in roles including CEO and Chairman. He offers…
Read More Building a More Effective ALCO in a Dynamic Rate Environment
The Asset Liability Management Committee (ALCO) is an integral part in the management of a financial institution. It is the committee responsible for effectively managing…
Read More Liquidity Risk Management: More Than Checking a Box
The recent bank failures of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank have shown that liquidity risk can produce a bank failure instantly versus a slower,…
Read More Thoughts on the Effects of Silicon Valley Bank and Related Events
Overview: The speed and magnitude of Fed rate hikes has been unprecedented, and we have emphasized that if continued it would likely force something to…
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